ECONOMIC CRISIS OR CONSEQUENTIAL ECONOMIC GROWTH

Institut za međunarodnu politiku i privredu, Beograd, Srbija
Serbia

Univerzitet Union „NikolaTesla“, Beograd, Srbija
Serbia

Univerzitet za poslovne studije, Banja Luka, Republika Srpska, Bosna i Hercegovina
Bosnia and Herzegovina


Abstract

Modern economies cycle through periods of recession and with this phenomenon they have learned to choose. Large problems arise when, instead of cyclical crises, global and comprehensive crises affect the functioning of small economies. Crises of weak economies, as a rule, start as currency, and then quickly turn into debt and banking. In the first step, the foreigners stop the capital entry into the country and / or withdraw the already entered capital - by prematurely repaying the loan, withdrawing the profit or sale of domestic securities. In such a situation, the output is to increase domestic accumulation. Effective economic policy should support mechanisms that create competition for certain economic activities in order to realize an increase in economies of scale and / or effects of agglomeration, which corresponds to the internalization of positive spatial-specific effects of expansion of activity (externalities). The inclusion of Serbia in the "Third Technological Revolution", with the abandonment of the concept of industrialization, is primarily conditioned by the import of modern technologies, and the transfer is accepted as an important element of development, both industrial and commercial, in general. However, since the beginning of the twenty-first century for Serbia, the great problem is the outflow of professional and highly educated workforce, which significantly reduces the potential for further development of scientific research, which is the basis of technological progress and modern inclusion in the processes of globalization. The economic crisis affects the growth of the economy to a greater or lesser extent. The predictions of the economic future of the Serbian economy are very ungrateful, because not only the public, but also experts offer different estimates, optimistic pessimistic, with or without arguments.

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