GEOPOLITIČKI DOGAĐAJI I REAKCIJA SRPSKOG TRŽIŠTA KAPITALA

Ekonomski fakultet u Subotici, Univerzitet u Novom Sad, Srbija,
Srbija

Ekonomski fakultet u Subotici, Univerzitet u Novom Sad, Srbija
Srbija

Ekonomski fakultet u Subotici, Univerzitet u Novom Sad, Srbija
Srbija


Apstrakt

Još uvek nedovolјno oporavlјena od šokova prouzrokovanih pandemijom Kovid-19, tržišta kapitala u svetu su se suočila sa novim izazovom, odnosno ratnim sukobom u Ukrajini. Efekti i posledice neizvesnosti, izvazvane novonastalim geopolitičkim prilikama, i reakcije finansijskih tržišta, još uvek nisu dovolјno istraženi. Imajući u vidu da su berze jedan od glavnih stubova, kako finansijskog, tako i ekonomskog blagostanja svake pojedinačne zemlјe, cilј rada je ispitivanje da li postoje razlike u vrednostima indeksa Beogradske berze, BELEX15, u periodu od godinu dana pre i godinu dana nakon izbijanja ratnog sukoba u Ukrajini. Autori polaze od pretpostavke da postoje značajne razlike u vrednostima indeksa Beogradske berze BELEX15, u periodu od godinu dana pre i nakon početka ratnog sukoba. Za ispitivanje razlika korišćen je t-test uparenih uzoraka. Rezultati ukazuju da je, u poređenju sa periodom pre izbijanja ratnog sukoba, u periodu nakon izbijanja ratnog sukoba zabeležen trend rasta posmatranog indeksa. Dobijeni rezultati, takođe, ukazuju na statistički značajne razlike u vrednostima BELEX15 za posmatrani period. Informacije o reakcijama berze na ratni sukob u Ukrajini, mogu biti od koristi, pre svega investitorima prilikom donošenja investicionih odluka.

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